Sunday, February 18, 2007

Who's Home State Is This?

Just how Democratic has New York State become?

So Democratic that it is willing to vote for a Democrat who adopted the Empire State as her home state vs. a home grown New Yorker.

50%-40% is only a 10-point margin though, and if Hillary only beats Rudy by 10%, that's not good. (by contrast, Al Gore carried New York by 21% in 2000 and Kerry won by 18% in 2004). A 10% margin pretty much means Hillary wins the city, Westchester, Albany, Buffalo, and maybe Rochester. She looses Long Island, the Hudson Valley and probably Syracuse (and the rest of the state).

Still, the GOP's hopes that a New York Republican on the ticket would win them the Empire State for the first time since 1984 are probably dashed. You could imagine how Romney does here...and McCain is, as I have said, dead in the water at this point.

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